NFL Week 11 Betting Advice: Eagles-Chiefs Pick & Props

The Line: Chiefs minus-2.5/Total: 45

What is the line telling you:

Monday Night Football is the setting for this game, with the game opening as the Chiefs being 2.5-point favorites, with the total at 45, after it opened at 47.

Weather could play a part in this game. The total can drop even lower. Anytime weather plays a factor, the team with the better running game and better defense usually has the advantage.

As of right now, the Chiefs defense is ranked No. 5 in the NFL in the opponents-yards-per play metric, and when you compare that to Philadelphia, which ranks No. 19, there is a huge disparity there. The Eagles have had major problems defending the pass.

They are one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to yards-per-pass attempt. Currently, the Eagles’ 8-1 record looks great from the outside looking in, but they do have the seventh-best point differential in the NFL.

That usually means that they have been better lucky than good. It’s never easy going into Kansas City and beating Andy Reid and the Chiefs at home. With an experienced Super Bowl-winning quarterback like Patrick Mahomes, it’s hard to see the Eagles covering the point spread.

Bottom line: This should be a close game, but the team with the ball last probably wins the game. At 2.5, we like the Chiefs.

Eagles game props

We like all the under props

Jalen Hurts passing yards under 233.5 yards

Under 45/45.5

Under 23.5 in the first half

Travis Kelce anytime touchdown minus-110

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown plus-120

What is the line telling you:

The Chiefs’ defense is ranked No. 3 in yards-per-pass attempt and No. 5 in opponent-yards-per-play. With that being said, Jalen Hurts passing and the weather could a problem.

Joseph Santoliquito:

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